{"id":54148,"date":"2026-04-20T13:47:09","date_gmt":"2026-04-20T13:47:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/xlence-com.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?post_type=news_analysis&p=54148"},"modified":"2026-04-20T13:47:25","modified_gmt":"2026-04-20T13:47:25","slug":"market-worries-rise-again","status":"publish","type":"news_analysis","link":"https:\/\/www.xlence.com\/ar\/news-analysis\/market-worries-rise-again\/","title":{"rendered":"Market worries rise again"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Market worries rise again as the USD opened higher in today\u2019s Asian session, supported by renewed safe-haven inflows following concerns of a possible escalation in the US-Iran conflict. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the greenback later corrected lower against its FX peers, suggesting the initial move may have been an overreaction. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets now shift focus to Canada\u2019s March CPI release and New Zealand\u2019s Q1 2026 CPI data, while the GBP may attract increased attention this week amid key UK economic releases and rising political uncertainty around PM Starmer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

USD opens higher on safe haven inflows<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The USD opened higher in today\u2019s Asian session, ass market worries for a possible escalation of the US-Iran conflict re-emerged, providing the USD with safe haven inflows. Nevertheless, the USD corrected lower against its counterparts in the FX market as the session progressed, implying that it may have been a market overreaction. We turn our attention on the release of Canada\u2019s March CPI rates just before the American session starts, and a possible wider than expected acceleration could provide some support for the Loonie. Similarly we also note the release of New Zealand\u2019s CPI rates for Q1 26 and a possible wider slow down than expected could weigh on the Kiwi. Yet we highlight the GBP as a currency that may generate substantial interest throughout the week in the FX market. Tomorrow, we note the release of UK\u2019s February employment data, on Wednesday we get UK\u2019s CPI rates for March and on Friday we get UK\u2019s retail sales for March. On fundamental level, we note that UK PM Starmer is under pressure to resign, which tends to raise the spectre of political instability for pound traders. \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Xlence Research Team opinion<\/strong><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

For the time being we continue to view USD\u2019s safe haven status as the main determinant behind its direction and should the market mood turn more risk on we may see the USD losing ground, while on the contrary as possibly more cautious approach of the market could provide some support for the greenback.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

GBP\/USD H4 Chart<\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\"\"\/<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
    \n
  • Support: 1.3475 (S1), 1.3345 (S2), 1.3160 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Resistance: 1.3575 (R1), 1.3715 (R2), 1.3870 (R3)\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    Cable\u2019s price action seems to be confined by the 1.3475 (S1) support line and the 1.3575 (R1) resistance level. We maintain a bias for GBP\/USD\u2019s sideways motion to continue at the current stage, given also that the RSI indicator seems to have reached the reading of 50, implying a rather indecisive market. For a bullish outlook to emerge, we would require GBP\/USD to break the 1.3575 (R1) resistance line and start aiming for the 1.3715 (R2) resistance level. For a bearish outlook to emerge, we would require GBP\/USD to break the 1.3475 (S1) support line and start aiming for the 1.3345 (S2) support level. \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    US equities remain at high levels<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Major US stock market indexes opened slightly lower, yet overall tended to remain at near record high levels, in a signal of confidence on behalf of market participants. We still view the US-Iran conflict as a major issue on a fundamental level, for US equities, yet also note that the earnings season for US stock markets is currently at full swings and company\u2019s releasing their earnings report are making headlines. In the current week we note the release of Rio Tinto today in the after market hours, BHP group tomorrow, on Wednesday we get the reports of Tesla and IBM, on Thursday we get Intel\u2019s earnings report and on Friday we get P&G\u2019s figures.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Xlence Research Team opinion<\/strong><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

    The market mood remains the main issue for US equities on a fundamental level. Thus a possible easing of the market\u2019s worries for the developments of the US war on Iran could provide some support for US stock markets, while also better than expected EPS and revenue figures, accompanied possibly by confident forward guidance, from key, high-profile companies could also improve the mood and provide a lift for US stock markets. \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    US 30 Cash H4 Chart<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
    \"\"\/<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
      \n
    • Support: 48400 (S1), 47450 (S2), 46800 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • Resistance: 49660 (R1), 50350 (R2), 51500 (R3)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

      Dow Jones opened lower in today\u2019s Asian session, yet seems to be re-approaching the 49600 (R1) resistance line. The upward trendline guiding it seems to have remained intact allowing to maintain a bullish outlook for the index. Also the RSI indicator seems to remain just below the reading of 70, implying the presence of a bullish market sentiment for the index. We set as the next possible target for Dow Jones\u2019 bulls the 49660 (R1) resistance line. Should the bears take over, we may see Dow Jones\u2019 price action breaking the prementioned upward trendline, in a first signal of an interruption of the upward movement and continue lower to 48400 (S1) support line and then start aiming for the 47450 (S2) support level.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      Oil bears seem to hesitate<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

      Oil prices tumbled on Friday as Iran announced that the Straits of Hormuz would opened and the international oil market increased its hopes for a possible peace deal in the US-Iran conflict. Yet over the weekend the US seized an Iranian oil tanker, causing the market to hesitate. It\u2019s indicative that Iran is now reported to be hesitant on further negotiations with the US in Pakistan this week. Market worries are now enhanced for a possible escalation in the conflict once again causing oil prices to open at a higher price today. \u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      Xlence Research Team opinion<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

      We continue to view the path of oil prices as bumpy and understandably the US war on Iran is the main issue affecting them. Should we see market worries intensifying once again, we may see oil prices rising once again, while should the market be more hopeful for a peaceful resolution, we may see oil prices dropping.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      WTI H4 Chart<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
      \"\"\/<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
        \n
      • Support: 84.80 (S1), 76.90 (S2), 67.20 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      • Resistance: 96.80 (R1), 107.15 (R2), 115.40 (R3)\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

        WTI\u2019s price opened higher today and with a small correction lower and continued to stabilise between the 96.80 (R1) resistance line and the 84.80 (S1) support level. The RSI indicator is just below the reading of 50, implying an easing of the market bearish sentiment, which could allow the sideways motion to continue yet may also imply that a bearish predisposition may still exist. In any case WTI\u2019s price action seems to have broken the downward trendline guiding it, which forces us to temporarily alter our bearish outlook in favour of a sideways motion bias. Nevertheless, should the bears regain control over WTI\u2019s price action, we may see it breaking the 84.80 (S1) support lien and start aiming for the 76.90 (S2) support level. Should the bulls take over, we may see WTI\u2019s price action, breaking the 96.80 (R1) resistance line and start aiming for the 107.15 (R2) resistance level.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        Gold\u2019s price remains stable<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

        Gold\u2019s price despite some outbursts on Friday tended to remain relatively stable. We continue to view the precious metal\u2019s price as being more sensitive to the movements of the USD rather than directly to geopolitical risks at the current stage. On a physical level, we note the gold buying festival in India, albeit demand seems\u00a0 to be lower than expected, so no major effect from that direction either.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        Xlence Research Team opinion<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

        We do not expect major changes in gold\u2019s price at the current stage, yet should we see the USD losing substantial ground, we may see gold\u2019s price getting some support while should the USD be on the rise, we may see gold\u2019s price retreating.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        XAU\/USD H4 Chart<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
        \"\"\/<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
          \n
        • Support: 4635 (S1), 4350 (S2), 4100 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
        • Resistance: 4875 (R1), 5000 (R2), 5230 (R3)\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

          Gold\u2019s price took a swing at the 4875 (R1) resistance line, yet failed to break it and the price action was forced to correct lower. We maintain our bias for gold\u2019s price to continue its sideways motion between the 4875 (R1) resistance line and the 46.35 (S1) support level, for the time being. Also the RSI indicator remains near the reading of 50 implying a rather indecisive market and the narrowing of the Bollinger Bands, both tend to support our bias. Should the bulls take over, we may see the gold\u2019s price breaking the 4875 (R1) resistance line and start aiming for the 5000 (R2) resistance level. Should the bears take over, we may see gold\u2019s price breaking the 4635 (S1) support line and start aiming for the 4350 (S2) support level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

          Disclaimer: This information is not considered investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication.<\/em><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

          The EUR\/USD pair gains traction to near 1.1915 during the early European session on Wednesday, bolstered by a weaker US Dollar (USD).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":48427,"template":"","news_category":[107],"class_list":["post-54148","news_analysis","type-news_analysis","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","news_category-latest-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nNegotiations Seem Promising as Oil Prices Stabilise<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Market worries rise again as the USD gains on safe-haven demand, while traders eye Canada CPI, NZ CPI, and key UK data.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.xlence.com\/en\/news-analysis\/market-worries-rise-again\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ar_AR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" 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