EUR/USD: Likely to trade between 1.1595 and 1.1645 – UOB Group

The current price movements are likely part of a range-trading phase between 1.1595 and 1.1645.
GBP: Wild ride on the day – ING

It has been quite easy to lose track of the UK government’s messaging regarding November’s budget, ING’s FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
DXY: Supported by caution – OCBC

DXY was a touch firmer this morning. Market narrative has shifted towards concerns of what the backlog of US data may reveal about the US economy but at the same time, there is also rising caution that Fed may slow pace of rate cuts.
Oil: Novorossiysk resumes Oil shipments – ING

ICE Brent settled almost 1.2% higher last week after a Friday rally following a Ukrainian attack on the Russian port of Novorossiysk.
EUR: European Commission autumn forecasts in focus – ING

In focus on a quiet Monday will be the European Commission’s autumn forecasts. In spring, the EC downgraded the 2025 and 2026 euro area GDP forecasts to 0.9% and 1.4% respectively, with inflation at 2.5% and 1.7%.
Hawkish pivot from Fed officials spurs selling spree across riskier assets

A month ago, odds for a December rate cut from the Fed seemed inevitable. Market forecasters apprehended week after week, data that confirmed their biases, pushing them to overtly rely on the scenario for further easing. Equity indices were marching higher and higher, striking fresh record high after fresh record high as investors’ exuberance for […]
Oil Weekly Update: Oversupply fears resurface after IEA’s forecasts
Technical Analysis of Oil WTI Chart – Crude futures remain rangebound near the $59 per barrel area due to absence of volatility Crude futures remained confined, since last week, between the $61.50 (R1) and $58.00 (S1) levels this week and yesterday signs of strength from the bears were observed, possibly foretelling that a move towards […]
US government shutdown no more

With the signature of President Trump, the longstanding US government shutdown that began in early October 2025 has officially came to an end. The government funding bill was signed into law on November 11 of 2025, and set an end to the historic 43-day shutdown fiasco, after the House of Representatives approved the Senate-passed funding […]
ECB’s Vujčić: Market valuations are stretched

European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Boris Vujčić said on Tuesday that risks are balanced around inflation, per Reuters.
EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Targets fresh record highs near 179.00 as bullish bias prevails

EUR/JPY extends its gains for the third consecutive session, trading around 178.40 during the European hours on Tuesday. The currency cross shows strong short-term momentum, trading above the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
USD: Interest rate decisions in uncertain times – Commerzbank

While the financial markets were almost in a ‚celebratory mood‘ in view of the looming end of the US government shutdown, EUR/USD remained flat yesterday. The price moved within a narrow range around the 1.1550 mark.
Gold sticks to gains near three-week high as Fed rate cut bets offset modest USD uptick

Gold (XAU/USD) sticks to modest intraday gains through the first half of the European session and currently trades just below a nearly three-week high touched this Tuesday.
Gold’s Weekly Update: Gold’s bullish tendencies are renewed
Since our last outlook, gold’s price remained relatively stable until todays’ opening in the Asian session, as the precious metal’s price rallied. In today’s report we are to discuss fundamental issues affecting currently gold’s price. For a rounder view, we are also to provide a technical analysis of gold’s daily chart. Gold Technical analysis Gold’s […]
A heads-up on this week’s releases

Given the absence of critical economic news releases today, we turn our attention towards the horizon and update our calendars with events that run the possibility of moving the markets this week: Tuesday: We kickstart the week with the UK’s employment update for the month of October, President Lagarde’s speech alongside Q3 earnings data from […]
Overstretched tech valuations spark bubble-burst fears

All three major US equity indices sank yesterday from renewed fears that valuations of mega cap tech stocks have detached from reality and fundamentals. The sharp selloff on Wall Street was more prominent in Nasdaq Composite which tumbled 1.9% at the close, the S&P dripped 1.12% and Dow Jones by 0.84%. AI hyped plays such […]
Crude Oil (WTI) below $60 per barrel after failed charge to higher ground
Technical Analysis of Oil WTI Chart – In the absence of volatility, crude futures gradually erase the swift gains made in prior 2 weeks After failing to extend their rally above the $61 per barrel area crude due to weak buying activity, futures gradually returned to their former consolidation zone, trading between the $60.50 (R1) […]
Bank of England seen keeping rates steady at 4%

Anaemic economic growth and stagnant inflationary pressures in the UK will most likely incentivize BoE policy makers to keep policy rates intact for another meeting according to the majority of pollsters, projecting that the bank will await for additional data before unloading more easing measures. Softer data on inflation, growth and employment compared to August […]
Canary chirps in the coal mine? Fed quietly injects liquidity in banking sector

As investors get bombarded with earnings story after earnings story from top tech companies racing to get ahead in the AI race, behind the scenes and away from the spotlight, attracting virtually zero attention, the Federal Reserve quietly injected almost $30bn into the banking system, conducting its largest operation since 2020. The central bank quietly […]
Chancelor’s Reeves surprise speech

Two days ahead of the Bank of England’s rate decision, the UK’s Chancelor of Exchequer, Rachel Reeves, held an uncanny, surprise public announcement to inform British citizens about the Labour party’s fiscal plans, addressing the massive budget hole that she and her colleagues have to fill. Even though the Chancelor did not lay down concrete […]
PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 7.0885 vs. 7.0867 previous

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) set the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead on Tuesday at 7.0885 compared to the previous day’s fix of 7.0867 and 7.1226 Reuters estimate.