{"id":34416,"date":"2025-10-09T12:34:53","date_gmt":"2025-10-09T12:34:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/xlence-com.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?post_type=news_analysis&#038;p=34416"},"modified":"2025-12-17T10:07:37","modified_gmt":"2025-12-17T10:07:37","slug":"oil-weekly-update-gaza-peace-plan-removes-catalytic-potency-for-crude","status":"publish","type":"news_analysis","link":"https:\/\/www.xlence.com\/es\/news-analysis\/oil-weekly-update-gaza-peace-plan-removes-catalytic-potency-for-crude\/","title":{"rendered":"Oil Weekly Update: Gaza peace plan removes catalytic potency for crude"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Geopolitical tensions across the Middle East softened this week as Israel and Hamas reportedly agreed to President Trump\u2019s 20-point peace plan, reducing the odds of a flare up of crude prices should the ceasefire period be respected.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The two parties have now entered the first phase of the plan, where prisoners of war will be mutually exchanged, Hamas will lay down arms and Israel cease operations and control in the war-torn Gaza strip.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The oil cartel OPEC+ confirmed forecasts for an output hike in the month of November, albeit the rise being smaller-than-expected, extending its plans of pumping and shipping more crude in international markets and Russia\u2019s exports remain near a 16-month peak, despite the ongoing war in Ukraine, which resulted in multiple refining disruptions.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Crude futures nevertheless float near 4-month lows post the announcement and are facing further downward pressure as the latest stockpile data from the US indicated a larger than expected rise in both API and EIA, validating views for the prolongment of weak demand as we move further away from the peak summer period.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Overall, weak demand fundamentals and expectations for an oversupplied market through 2026, could and are limiting upside momentum in the key energy commodity for the time being.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-technical-analysis-of-oil\"><strong>Technical Analysis<\/strong> <strong>of Oil<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>I Chart \u2013 Crude futures in \u201cequilibrium mode\u201d as momentum thins out<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"700\" height=\"396\" src=\"https:\/\/www.xlence.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/oil-report-9-10-2025.jpg\" alt=\"wti\/usd chart displaying a bullish trend with upward movement indicated by green lines and arrows.\" class=\"wp-image-34419\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Resistance: <\/strong>65.60 (R1), 68.70 (R2), 72.50 (R3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Support: <\/strong>61.50 (S1), 58.00 (S2), 55.15 (S3)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Crude futures are currently fluctuating near the $61.50 (S1) support base, a 4-month low, as bearish sentiment got countered by the return of the bulls, which contained the fall below the $60 mark. Given the lack of substantial fundamental catalysts, we maintain our bias for the prolongment of the sideways scenario for the time being, up until the point where a decisive move occurs. The RSI reading, the MACD and ADX indicators below the chart, all confirm the lack of volatility, momentum and strength from either bulls or bears, signalling that crude prices are in equilibrium mode. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the scenario where, the bulls awaken and safeguard WTI\u2019s price from crossing decisively below the $61.50 (S1) support base, then a move towards the $65.60 (R1) resistance barrier may be expected. On the contrary, should the bears unite their power and definitively drag WTI below the $61.50 (S1) support base, then an extension of the move towards the $58.00 (S2) support level shall be reasonably expected.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Technical Analysis of Oil I Chart \u2013 Crude futures in \u201cequilibrium mode\u201d as momentum thins out Crude futures are currently fluctuating near the $61.50 (S1) support base, a 4-month low, as bearish sentiment got countered by the return of the bulls, which contained the fall below the $60 mark. Given the lack of substantial fundamental [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":28178,"template":"","news_category":[110],"class_list":["post-34416","news_analysis","type-news_analysis","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","news_category-weekly-insights-oil"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.2 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Oil Weekly Update: Gaza Peace Plan Caps Crude Upside<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Gaza peace plan eases tensions and weighs on crude oil prices, with WTI near 4-month lows as weak demand and oversupply outlook persist.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.xlence.com\/en\/news-analysis\/oil-weekly-update-gaza-peace-plan-removes-catalytic-potency-for-crude\/\" 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