Oil prices remain largely stable over the past 24 hours, despite edging slightly lower during the Asian and European sessions. Negotiations seem promising, as growing optimism that the US and Iran may be nearing a peace agreement is supporting market sentiment, with President Trump noting that a deal could be getting closer. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
At the same time, improving prospects for an Israel-Lebanon ceasefire are strengthening expectations of a positive outcome. With key developments expected over the weekend, oil prices could see increased volatility when markets reopen on Monday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Oil prices seem to edge a bit lower in today\u2019s Asian and European sessions, yet overall oil prices seem to remain largely stable in the past 24 hours. There are increased indications for US and Iran to be nearing in the negotiations a possible peace plan. It\u2019s characteristic that US President Trump stated that Iran deal is getting closer and the prospect of an Israel-Lebanon ceasefire increases the chances of a positive outcome in the US-Iran negotiations. Overall we expect further developments on the issue over the weekend which could affect oil prices on Monday\u2019s opening.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Xlence Research Team opinion<\/strong><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
In our opinion we see currently wider probabilities for a peace deal to be achieved than not. Should we see market hopes for a possible peace plan between US and Iran, intensifying, we may see oil prices slipping. On the flip side, should the negotiations fall through, we may see market worries for the supply side of the international oil market intensifying once again and oil prices rising.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
WTI\u2019s price despite some slight ups and downs currently seems to remain in a sideways motion between the 96.80 (R1) resistance line and the 84.80 (S1) support level. The RSI indicator remains well below the reading of 50, hence we issue also a warning for any possible bearish tendencies. Should the bears be in charge of WTI\u2019s price direction, we may see it breaking the 84.80 (S1) support line and start aiming for the 76.90 (S2) support level. Should the bulls take over, we may see WTI\u2019s price breaking the 96.80 (R1) resistance line and start aiming for the 107.15 (R2) resistance level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
US equities continue to feel confident<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
S&P 500 and Nasdaq remained at record high levels, implying a high degree of confidence on behalf of US stock markets. On a fundamental level, we note that market hopes for a possible US-Iranian peace deal, seem to allow for a more risk on approach to be maintained which benefited US equities. On the specifics we highlight the release of Netflix\u2019s earnings report yesterday. The company reported better than expected EPS and revenue figures for Q1 26. Nevertheless, the company\u2019s forward guidance may disappoint traders as could the announcement that the board president and cofounder of the company is stepping down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Xlence Research Team opinion<\/strong><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Should we see the market\u2019s mood continue to be positive and risk oriented, we may see the US stock markets rising further. On the flip side, should we see the market turning more cautious, we may see US stock markets losing ground.\u00a0 \u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n
US 100 Cash H4 Chart<\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
Nasdaq continued to have some slight bullish tendencies in today\u2019s Asian and European sessions, remaining steadily above the 26215 (S1) support line and thus remaining at record high levels. We tend to maintain a bullish outlook for Nasdaq as long as the upward trendline guiding it remains intact. Yet we note the possibility of a correction lower, as RSI indicator remains above the reading of 70, implying that the index is at overbought levels. We set as the next possible target for the bulls the 26750 (R1) resistance line. Should the bears take over, we may see Nasdaq\u2019s price action breaking the 26215 (S1) support line and continuing lower by breaking also the 25770 (S2) support level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
USD about to end the week in the reds, again<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
The USD is about to end the week deep in the reds for a second week in a row. On a fundamental level, we maintain the view that the USD\u2019s safe haven status continues to weigh on the greenback, as the market\u2019s mood continues to be positive. Today we have no major financial releases from the US, hence we expect fundamentals to lead the market. Also we note any statements of Fed policymakers could affect USD\u2019s direction. Should we see Fed policymakers leaning more intensely on the hawkish side, we may see the USD getting some support and vice versa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Xlence Research Team opinion<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Should we see the market\u2019s mood improving further, we may see the USD losing further ground, while on the flip side a possible more cautious approach by the market could provide a lift for the greenback.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n
EUR\/USD remained steadily just below the 1.1810 (R1) resistance line. We tend to maintain a bias for a sideways motion for the EUR\/USD and the narrowing of the Bollinger bands tends to imply reduced volatility for the pair. On the other hand the RSI indicator remains above the reading of 50 and rising implying a strengthening bullish predisposition of the market for the pair. For abandoning our sideways motion bias in favour of a bullish outlook we would require EUR\/USD\u2019s price action to break the 1.1810 (R1) resistance line and start aiming for the 1.1925 (R2) resistance level. For a bearish outlook, which we currently see as remote yet still possible, we would require EUR\/USD to reverse direction and break the upward trendline guiding it, continue to break the 1.1640 (S1) support line and start aiming for the 1.1410 (S2) support level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Gold seems to remain indifferent<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Gold\u2019s price remained in a sideways motion over the past couple of days. Despite some analysts highlighting the safe haven qualities of the precious metal, we do not see the issue as a key determinant for gold\u2019s direction. We note the direction of the USD and the Fed\u2019s intentions, with emphasis being placed on the latter, as key for the gold\u2019s direction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Xlence Research Team opinion<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
For the time being, we expect Gold\u2019s price to continue on a sideways motion as little tends to affect gold\u2019s price at a current level, as the interest of the market for gold\u2019s price, remains low. Should we see Fed policymakers, leaning on the hawkish side and exceed the market\u2019s expectations, we may see gold\u2019s price losing some ground.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Gold\u2019s price remained in a tight rangebound motion with the main body of its price action, since the start of the March, between the 4635 (S1) support line and the 44875 (R1) resistance level. We maintain a bias for gold\u2019s price to remain in a sideways motion within the prementioned levels. The RSI indicator continues to run along the reading of 50, implying a rather indecisive market and thus supporting our sideways\u00a0 motion bias. Should the bulls take over, we may see the gold\u2019s price breaking the 4875 (R1) resistance line and start aiming for the 5000 (R2) resistance level. Should the bears take over, we may see gold\u2019s price breaking the 4635 (S1) support line and start aiming for the 4350 (S2) support level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Disclaimer: This information is not considered investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication.<\/em><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
The EUR\/USD pair gains traction to near 1.1915 during the early European session on Wednesday, bolstered by a weaker US Dollar (USD).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":48434,"template":"","news_category":[107],"class_list":["post-54110","news_analysis","type-news_analysis","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","news_category-latest-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
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