{"id":51980,"date":"2026-03-12T14:46:38","date_gmt":"2026-03-12T14:46:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/xlence-com.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?post_type=lessons&#038;p=51980"},"modified":"2026-03-12T14:47:14","modified_gmt":"2026-03-12T14:47:14","slug":"understanding-expectations-theory-the-markets-response-to-anticipated-changes-lesson-21","status":"publish","type":"lessons","link":"https:\/\/www.xlence.com\/ko\/lessons\/understanding-expectations-theory-the-markets-response-to-anticipated-changes-lesson-21\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub808\uc2a8 21: \uae30\ub300\uc774\ub860 \uc774\ud574\ud558\uae30: \uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubc18\uc751"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>\uc7ac\uc815\uc815\ucc45\uacfc \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc758 \uc0c1\ud638\uc791\uc6a9\uc744 \uc0b4\ud3b4\ubcf8 \ud6c4, \uc774\uc81c \uae30\ub300\uc774\ub860\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uae4a\uc774 \uc788\uac8c\uc54c\uc544\ubcf4\uaca0\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\uba3c\uc800, \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce60\uae4c\uc694? \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ud6a8\uc728\uc131\uc744 \ub2f9\uc5f0\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \ubaa8\ub4e0 \ucc38\uc5ec\uc790\uac00 \uc989\uac01\uc801\uc774\uace0 \uc790\uc720\ub86d\uac8c \uc815\ubcf4\uc5d0 \uc811\uadfc\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uac00\uc815\ud55c\ub2e4\uba74, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ubaa8\ub4e0 \uc694\uc18c\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc55e\uc11c \uc0b4\ud3b4\ubcf8 \ubc14\uc640 \uac19\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc870\uce58\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uc9d1\uc911\ud558\ubbc0\ub85c,\u00a0 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ud654\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \ud070 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce69\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-\uccab-\ubc88\uc9f8-\uc608\uc2dc\"><strong>\uccab \ubc88\uc9f8 \uc608\uc2dc<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>10\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc800\ucd95\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uac00\uc815\ud574 \ubcf4\uaca0\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \uc608\uae08 \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 2%, \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc740 0.5%\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\u00a0 \ud638\uc8fc \ucabd\uc744 \uc120\ud0dd\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uaca0\uc2b5\ub2c8\uae4c? \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 0%\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4\uba74, \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc744 \uc120\ud0dd\ud560 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uadf8\ub7ec\ud55c \uc77c\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc0dd\uac01\ud55c\ub2e4\uba74 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \ubc29\uc9c0\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc790\uae08\uc744 \uc774\ub3d9\uc2dc\ud0ac \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uc544\uc9c1 \uc544\ubb34 \uc77c\ub3c4 \uc77c\uc5b4\ub098\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ucd08\ub798\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\uc73c\uba70,<br>\ubc14\ub85c \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc774\uc720\ub85c \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc911\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-\ub450-\ubc88\uc9f8-\uc608\uc2dc\">\ub450 \ubc88\uc9f8 \uc608\uc2dc<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\ub137\ud50c\ub9ad\uc2a4 \uc8fc\uc2dd 140\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5b4\uce58\ub97c \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub2e4\uc74c \ub2ec\uc5d0 \ud68c\uc0ac\uac00 \ud30c\uc0b0\uc744<br>\uc120\uc5b8\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubbff\ub294\ub2e4\uba74, \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc774 \ubb34\uac00\uce58\ud574\uc9c8 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uac10\uc218\ud558\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294<br>\uc9c0\uae08 \ub2f9\uc7a5 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ucda9\ubd84\ud55c \uc218\uc758 \uac1c\uc778\uc774 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubbff\uc74c\uc744 \uac00\uc9c0\uace0 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub137\ud50c\ub9ad\uc2a4 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud55c\ub2e4\uba74, \uc8fc\uac00\ub294 \ud06c\uac8c \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uac83\uc774\uba70,\u00a0 \uc774\ub294 \ud68c\uc0ac\uc758 \ub354 \ube60\ub978 \ud3d0\uc1c4\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub97c \uc790\uae30\uc2e4\ud604\uc801 \uc608\uc5b8\uc774\ub77c\uace0\ub3c4 \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-\uc138-\ubc88\uc9f8-\uc608\uc2dc\"><strong>\uc138 \ubc88\uc9f8 \uc608\uc2dc<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\uc720\ub85c\uc874 4\ubd84\uae30 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \ucd94\uc815\uce58\ub97c \uc0b4\ud3b4\ubcf4\uba74, \uc804\ubd84\uae30 +0.5% \ub300\ube44 +0.7%\ub85c<br>\uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub9cc\uc57d \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 0.7% \uae30\ub300\uce58\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uc5ec<br>4\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0 +0.9%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ud574\ub2f9 \uacb0\uacfc\uac00 \uc720\ub85c\ud654 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ubbc0\ub85c EUR\/USD \ud658\uc728\uc740 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ubc18\ub300\ub85c, 4\ubd84\uae30 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 0.7% \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \ubc11\ub3cc\uace0 +0.4% \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce60 \uacbd\uc6b0<br>EUR\/USD\ub294 \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9\uc73c\ub85c, 4\ubd84\uae30 \uc2e4\uc81c \uacb0\uacfc\uac00 0.7% \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\uc640 \uc815\ud655\ud788 \uc77c\uce58\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0<br>\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc774 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc0ac\uc804\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud588\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \ubcc4\ub2e4\ub978 \ubc18\uc751\uc774 \uc5c6\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ud070 \ubcc0\ud654\ub294 \ubcf4\ud1b5 \ube0c\ub809\uc2dc\ud2b8\ub098 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub2f9\uc120 \uac19\uc740 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 \ubabb\ud55c \uc0c1\ud669\uacfc<br>\ub9de\ubb3c\ub9bd\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc608\uc0c1 \uacb0\uacfc\uc5d0 \uc55e\uc11c \ubcc0\ub3d9\ud558\ubbc0\ub85c, \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ucda9\uc871\ub418\uba74 \ubc18\uc751\uc740<br>\ubbf8\ubbf8\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74, \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc758 \uacb0\uacfc\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc2e0\uc18d\ud558\uac8c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744<br>\uc870\uc815\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4ed\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ub2e4\uc74c \uc601\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \uad6c\uccb4\uc801\uc778 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ud560 \uc608\uc815\uc774\uba70,<br>\uc131\uc7a5 \ubc0f \uc0dd\uc0b0 \uad00\ub828 \uc9c0\ud45c\ubd80\ud130 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uaca0\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc7ac\uc815\uc815\ucc45\uacfc \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc758 \uc0c1\ud638\uc791\uc6a9\uc744 \uc0b4\ud3b4\ubcf8 \ud6c4, \uc774\uc81c \uae30\ub300\uc774\ub860\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uae4a\uc774 \uc788\uac8c\uc54c\uc544\ubcf4\uaca0\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uba3c\uc800, \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce60\uae4c\uc694? 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