{"id":37931,"date":"2025-11-04T00:14:24","date_gmt":"2025-11-04T00:14:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/xlence-com.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/news-analysis\/gold-price-forecast-xau-usd-holds-below-4000-as-feds-hawkish-remarks-lift-us-dollar\/"},"modified":"2025-12-17T13:13:10","modified_gmt":"2025-12-17T13:13:10","slug":"gold-price-forecast-xau-usd-holds-below-4000-as-feds-hawkish-remarks-lift-us-dollar","status":"publish","type":"news_analysis","link":"https:\/\/www.xlence.com\/ko\/news-analysis\/gold-price-forecast-xau-usd-holds-below-4000-as-feds-hawkish-remarks-lift-us-dollar\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold Price Forecast: XAU\/USD holds below $4,000 as Fed\u2019s hawkish remarks lift US Dollar"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li value=\"1\"><strong>Gold price trades in negative territory near $4,000 in Tuesday\u2019s early Asian session.\u00a0<\/strong><\/li>\n<li value=\"2\"><strong>Fed Chair Powell\u00a0said another cut this year was &#8220;not a foregone conclusion.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li value=\"3\"><strong>The US ISM Manufacturing PMI fell to 48.7 in October, weaker than expected.\u00a0<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Gold price (XAU\/USD) declines to around $4,000 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal edges lower as traders dialed back bets for further Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts. The Fed\u2019s Michelle Bowman is scheduled to speak later in the day.<\/p>\n<p>The US central bank last week\u00a0cut interest rates for the second time this year, but Fed Chair Jerome Powell\u00a0said another cut this year was &#8220;not a foregone conclusion.&#8221; The hawkish remarks from the Fed officials drag the yellow metal lower. The US central bank lowered its benchmark overnight borrowing rate at its October meeting last week to a range of 3.75%-4.0%.<\/p>\n<p>The markets are discounting a 70% odds that the Fed will cut the fed funds target range by 25 basis points (bps) at the December meeting.\u00a0 The markets are discounting an overall 82 bps rate reduction by the end of 2026 to 3.06% from the current effective federal funds rate of 3.88%.<\/p>\n<p>However, the latest data showed the US manufacturing sector weakening last month. This, in turn, might weigh on the US Dollar (USD) and lift the USD-denominated commodity price. Data released by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) on Monday showed that the US Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) fell to 48.7 in October from 49.1 in September. This figure came in weaker than the expectation of 49.5.<\/p>\n<p>Traders brace for the US October ADP Employment Change\u00a0data later on Wednesday. This report might offer some hints about the chances of an additional Fed interest rate cut this year. In case of the weaker-than-expected outcome, this could provide some support to the safe-haven assets like the Gold price.<\/p>\n<div class=\"post-module\">\n<div id=\"content-module-faq-Commodities-gold-989\" data-type=\"faq\" data-module=\"faq\" data-config-topic=\"gold\" data-config-category=\"Commodities\" data-version=\"v1\" data-content-module-translate=\"0\">\n<div class=\"fxs-faq-module-wrapper\">\n<h2 class=\"fxs-faq-module-title\">Gold FAQs<\/h2>\n<div class=\"fxs-faq-module-container\"><input id=\"content-module-faq-Commodities-gold-989accordion0\" checked=\"checked\" type=\"checkbox\" \/><\/p>\n<section class=\"fxs-faq-module-section\">\n<h3 class=\"fxs-faq-module-header\"><label for=\"content-module-faq-Commodities-gold-989accordion0\"><br \/>\nWhy do people invest in Gold?<br \/>\n<\/label><\/h3>\n<p class=\"fxs-faq-module-content\">Gold has played a key role in human\u2019s history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn\u2019t rely on any specific issuer or government.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<p><input id=\"content-module-faq-Commodities-gold-989accordion1\" type=\"checkbox\" \/><\/p>\n<section class=\"fxs-faq-module-section\">\n<h3 class=\"fxs-faq-module-header\"><label for=\"content-module-faq-Commodities-gold-989accordion1\"><br \/>\nWho buys the most Gold?<br \/>\n<\/label><\/h3>\n<p class=\"fxs-faq-module-content\">Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country\u2019s solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<p><input id=\"content-module-faq-Commodities-gold-989accordion2\" type=\"checkbox\" \/><\/p>\n<section class=\"fxs-faq-module-section\">\n<h3 class=\"fxs-faq-module-header\"><label for=\"content-module-faq-Commodities-gold-989accordion2\"><br \/>\nHow is Gold correlated with other assets?<br \/>\n<\/label><\/h3>\n<p class=\"fxs-faq-module-content\">Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<p><input id=\"content-module-faq-Commodities-gold-989accordion3\" type=\"checkbox\" \/><\/p>\n<section class=\"fxs-faq-module-section\">\n<h3 class=\"fxs-faq-module-header\"><label for=\"content-module-faq-Commodities-gold-989accordion3\"><br \/>\nWhat does the price of Gold depend on?<br \/>\n<\/label><\/h3>\n<p class=\"fxs-faq-module-content\">The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU\/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold price (XAU\/USD) declines to around $4,000 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal edges lower as traders dialed back bets for further Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts. The Fed\u2019s Michelle Bowman is scheduled to speak later in the day.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":37932,"template":"","news_category":[107],"class_list":["post-37931","news_analysis","type-news_analysis","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","news_category-latest-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.4 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Gold Price Forecast: XAU\/USD Below $4,000 on Hawkish Fed<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Gold Price Forecast shows XAU\/USD holding below $4,000 as hawkish Fed remarks lift the US Dollar and curb rate cut expectations.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, nofollow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ko_KR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Gold Price Forecast: XAU\/USD holds below $4,000 as Fed\u2019s 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